Inspector exams with too many difficult-to-answer questions are harmful to consumers.
by Nick Gromicko
Founder of the International Association of Certified Home Inspectors
The International Association of Certified Home Inspector (InterNACHI) has
administered more inspection exams than all other sources combined. It is also
the leader in gathering home inspector competence evaluation data, right down
to the
pass/fail rates of every question ever asked.
Often we will hear someone in the industry complain that "the questions should
have been more difficult to answer" on this or that exam. On the surface it may
appear that an exam is improved to the benefit of the consumer if the questions
are made to be more difficult. Let us dispel this myth now.
For purpose and ease of discussion, let's assume that we have a 100 point
True/False exam. Because a multiple choice question often has at least one clearly
wrong answer choice, a multiple choice question is not much different (only a
bit more difficult) mathematically than a True/False question. Let's also assume
that we have two exam takers. One (we'll call him Mr. Veteran) knows 10 times
what the other (we'll call him Mr. Newbie) knows about home inspections.
Now we all know that if we make the exam too easy, Mr. Veteran and Mr. Newbie
will score similarly. Just as if we asked a Pulitzer Prize winner and a six year
old how to spell the word "CAT" (proof by extremes). In the inspection industry,
an exam that is too easy is harmful to consumers because it makes a weak distinction
between Mr. Veteran and Mr. Newbie... they both pass.
But what happens if the questions in the exam are too difficult to answer?
Let's find out using another proof by extremes. Let's say we create a 100 point
True/False home inspection exam that has so many difficult-to-answer questions that Mr. Veteran only knows the answer to 20 of the 100 questions.
That's a pretty hard exam! Mr. Veteran will have to guess the answer to 80 of
the questions. On average he will score 60 (20 for the ones he knows the answer
to plus half of the 80 that he guesses at). Mr. Newbie knows a tenth of Mr. Veteran.
So he knows the answer to only 2 questions. On average he will score 51 (2 for
the ones he knows the answer to plus half of the 98 he guesses at).
Now if you flip a coin 10 times, you should get heads 5 times on average.
But often if you flip a coin 10 times you will get more than 5 heads or less than
5 heads. The same is true for the questions our exam takers are guessing at.
Sometimes Mr. Veteran will score worse than 60 and sometimes Mr. Newbie will score
better than 51. Using an
online binomial calculator one finds that 1 in 10 Mr. Newbies will score as well as the average Mr. Veteran
and that 1 in 10 Mr. Veterans will score as low as the average Mr. Newbie all
based solely on chance! Often Mr. Newbie will score better than Mr. Veteran simply
because the score on an exam that contains a large percentage of
difficult-to-answer questions that neither exam taker knows the answers to, is determined solely
by luck. That's not too good for consumers.
But wait, it gets worse for consumers! As we make the questions more difficult
to answer, the percentage of questions that our exam takers have to guess at goes
up, which increases the reliance of the score on chance, which increases the odds
that Mr. Newbie will score as well or even better than Mr. Veteran, which weakens
the exam's ability to determine who is competent and who isn't, which is worse
for consumers. In fact, on an exam full of so many difficult-to-answer questions that Mr. Veteran only knows the answer to 10 of the 100, Mr. Veteran
will (on average) score only 4.5 points better than Mr. Newbie.
But wait, it gets worse for consumers! By making the questions more difficult-to-answer and increasing the chances that Mr. Newbie will be able to pass by being lucky,
we also increase the chance of Mr. Veteran will fail due to bad luck. If the
exam is used for certification (which gives the exam passer a market advantage
and denies the exam failer the market advantage) or worse... if the exam is used
for licensing (which puts the exam passer into the market and prohibits the exam failer
from entering the market), an exam with more difficult-to-answer questions increases the percentage of Mr. Newbies to Mr. Veterans in the market
place, by increasing the number of Mr. Newbies and decreasing the number of Mr.
Veterans, which is horrible for consumers.
InterNACHI's exams don't rely much on chance. InterNACHI's exams contain
what some would describe as easy-to-answer questions that every Mr. Veteran should know the answer to. InterNACHI's exams
are sometimes criticized for containing such questions. What these critics don't
understand is our superior scoring system. If the exam taker answers these questions correctly,
he gets no credit for them because we can't tell if he answered the questions
correctly because he is a Mr. Veteran or if he is a just a lucky Mr. Newbie.
However, if the exam taker answers them incorrectly, we can assume that he is
very likely a Mr. Newbie, and the exam taker is severley punished (in terms of
score) for failing to answer them correctly. For you see, it is much easier to
determine incompetence than competence. This system, combined with InterNACHI's
high passing cut-off scores, cause InterNACHI's exams to be much better than other
exams at distinguishing between the competent and incompetent and far less reliant
on chance and luck.